June 14, 2009
BusinessWeek quoted Professor Richard Green about the impact of rising home prices on homeowners. If prices were to go up everywhere, it wouldn't help the homeowner, since he or she couldn't afford to buy a new home in the same market, Green explained. "The only way you can benefit is if you sold a house in California in 2006 and moved to Alabama." Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
June 12, 2009
The Wisconsin State Journal featured the keynote speech by Professor Richard Green at the conference "Housing Outlook 2010: Continued Crisis or Recovery?" "Finding the bottom is really key to getting out of this mess and I do think we're close," Green said. "The long-term outlook for housing is very positive." Green is Director and Chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
June 11, 2009
The Capital Times reported that Professor Richard Green will be keynote speaker at "Housing Outlook 2010: Continued Crisis or Recovery?", a conference at the University of Wisconsin-Madison. Green is Director and Chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
June 8, 2009
The Cleveland Plain Dealer noted that SPPD Professors Richard Green and Raphael Bostic will speak at a Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Community Development Summit titled "Credit, Capital, and Community Building in Transitional Times." Green is Director and Chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
June 5, 2009
The Los Angeles Times quoted Professor Richard Green about current property values. "If you get away from the coasts, houses are cheap," Green said. In inland areas, some houses are selling for less than construction costs, he noted. Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
June 5, 2009
The San Jose Mercury News quoted Associate Professor Gary Painter about first-time home buyers. Above all, new buyers should remember that no deal is so good that they should ignore financial common sense, Painter said. They should do the math, and make sure to factor in inevitable changes in the housing market, he added. This story was carried widely. Painter is director of research for the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
June 5, 2009
The Los Angeles Downtown News quoted SPPD Distinguished Fellow Stan Ross about a proposed condo tower in L.A.'s downtown. Depending on how quickly the project moves forward, the developer may have to provide a large portion of the project's construction budget up front, Ross said. Due to the current frozen credit market, the developers are unlikely to get traditional financing, he added. Ross is chairman of the board for the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
May 20, 2009
The Los Angeles Times quoted Professor Richard Green about many homeowners keeping their properties in the hopes that prices will eventually rise. "Until those people are forced to sell, they're not going to," Green said. "That might change if lots of high-income people lose their jobs," he added. Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
May 9, 2009
The Los Angeles Times quoted Professor Harry Pachon about the American dream among Latinos. "It's the dream of having a single-family house and a white picket fence and a dog," Pachon said. Pachon is president of the Tomas Rivera Policy Institute at USC, the story noted.
May 8, 2009
KPCC-FM's "AirTalk" interviewed Professor Richard Green about the relationship between real estate brokers and appraisers. "One of the things that let us down the road that we went down was the relationship between the brokers and the appraisers," said Green, who directs the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. "The brokers had every incentive to get the loan done, not to make sure the loan performed properly, because they were compensated based on originations, not on loan performance; so the last thing they wanted is an appraiser to get in the way of the deal."
May 7, 2009
Investor's Business Daily quoted Stan Ross of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate about the stress tests of the nation's largest banks. Stress tests might cause an "interesting result" with regard to banks' distressed-home sale policies, Ross said. In assessing how a bank would fare in a deeper recession, the tests might cause some banks to cut their losses by selling bad assets fast, in anticipation that prices might drop even more down the road, he noted. "The good news would be they sell it, get the cash and reloan it out," Ross explained. "They move from a stale asset to a good asset."
May 6, 2009
The San Gabriel Valley Tribune quoted Professor Richard Green about stalled condo projects. Developments nationwide have been hit hard by the economy, said Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. "With house prices declining, buyers would rather have a house than condo, and underwriting on condos is more difficult now," he noted.
April 16, 2009
The Economist quoted Professor Richard Green in a story on reconsidering the benefits of homeownership. "Perhaps the most compelling argument for housing as a means of wealth accumulation is that it gives households a default mechanism for savings," said Green, director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. Because people have to pay off a mortgage, they increase their home equity and save more than they otherwise would," he explained.
April 15, 2009
The Los Angeles Times quoted Professor Richard Green about the merger of homebuilder giants Pulte Homes and Centex. "What this says is that companies are desperate to cut overhead right now," Green said. "I see this as a good, cost-saving move for both companies."
April 9, 2009
Xinhua News Agency (China) featured the latest USC Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast, which was released by the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. The report found that rent prices fell across much of Southern California. "The dramatic changes in the economy are taking their toll on landlords, who are lowering rents or giving concessions just to keep their units occupied," said Delores Conway of the Lusk Center, who directs the forecast.
April 8, 2009
American Public Media's "Marketplace" interviewed Associate Professor Gary Painter about Pulte Homes buying rival homebuilder Centex. One advantage of the merger is that by cutting costs, it will facilitate building up cash reserves, the story noted. "Because there's not the same sort of credit available that there obviously used to be, it'll put them in a position to acquire inventory of land for the long term," Painter explained. And acquiring land in the right places will make all the difference, he said.
March 23, 2009
CNBC quoted Professor Richard Green about a resurgence in conservative lending practices. Lenders have returned to the "gold standard" of requiring 20 percent down for loans not insured by the Federal Housing Administration, Green said. "We are seeing some lenders asking for 25 percent down," he added. "It used to be, if you had a [credit] score of 680 or above you were considered very good quality credit, and you'd get the best pricing," Green added. But as lenders have gotten more careful, the bar for that top tier is higher. "Now you'll pay 1 percent more than someone with a 760."
March 23, 2009
The Los Angeles Times reported that Raphael Bostic has been tapped by President Barack Obama to be assistant secretary for policy development and research in the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Bostic has served as a professor at the USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development and as director of the master of real estate development degree program, the story noted. He is an expert on housing, mortgage markets, discrimination, market forecasting, urban economics and real estate regulations. "We are pleased that the administration has reached out to tap a member of our highly respected real estate and urban economics faculty and delighted to tell you that Dr. Bostic has assured us of his return to campus following his two-year post at HUD," a USC statement noted.
March 14, 2009
The Los Angeles Times quoted Professor Richard Green about President Barack Obama's proposal to reduce the mortgage interest tax deduction for those earning more than $250,000. The plan may well be "sort of the nose under the tent on the way to getting rid of the mortgage interest deduction entirely," Green said.
February 25, 2009
The Los Angeles Times ran the second and third parts of the "Dust-Up" debate featuring SPPD Professor Richard Green. "A cram-down is a court-ordered reduction of the secured balance due on a home mortgage loan," Green wrote in the first story. "Basically, it reduces lenders' collateral to the current value of the house, which is determined with an appraisal. That said, I worry about the impact of cram-downs on the ability of borrowers to get mortgages going forward." In the second Los Angeles Times story, Green recommended a plan to reduce the principal owed in home loans. "I think policymakers are worried that writing down principal will give borrowers something for nothing. But the same is true for reducing payments via a subsidized interest rate," he wrote. "We could help deal with the fairness problem by having a claw-back provision for borrowers whose loans are modified."
February 24, 2009
The Los Angeles Times ran an op-ed by Professor Richard Green as part of a "Dust-Up" debate series on President Obama's mortgage plan. "I would like to see an additional feature in the Obama plan: a claw-back provision for those who get a direct mortgage subsidy from the government and then later sell at a profit," Green wrote. "If we taxpayers are going to help people remain in their houses, we should get the equivalent of partial-ownership interests in the houses we subsidize."
February 20, 2009
Fox News interviewed Professor Richard Green about homeowners who are frustrated that the government is bailing out people who took risks and not helping those who were responsible. Such frustration is justified, but the economic risk of letting millions of homeowners default on their mortgages leaves the government with little choice, Green said. "A year ago I would have been appalled at this plan," Green said. "Now I think we have to do something like this. The moral hazard argument is valid, but is trumped by the macroeconomic situation." Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
February 19, 2009
The Oregonian quoted Professor Richard Green about President Barack Obama's mortgage restructuring initiative. "It's a clever plan," Green said. "It might actually help the housing market bottom," he added. Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
February 16, 2009
Los Angeles Downtown News cited the USC Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast. Downtown L.A. occupancy rates have fallen from 96 percent to 85 percent, according to the forecast.
February 12, 2009
USA Today quoted Professor Dowell Myers on the domestic housing slump. A record one in nine housing units is vacant, the newspaper reported. Myers said the problem goes beyond the construction frenzy that peaked in 2005. "This is a different problem," says Myers, housing demographer at the USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development. "It's high now because of lack of demand. Now, vacancies we see are from units that have been empty for a period of time."
February 6, 2009
U.S. News & World Report quoted Professor Richard Green about tips for potential homebuyers. People should consider purchasing a home as a place to live in rather than as an investment, Green advised. "If you're not planning on living in that house for more than three to five years, I wouldn't buy anything right now," he said. Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
February 4, 2009
Faculty and students at the USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development took part in a leadership training conference to help local government officials find solutions for public problems afflicting cities nationwide.
February 2, 2009
Los Angeles Downtown News quoted Associate Professor Gary Painter about a reported ownership change in a real estate development project. "My guess is they tried to rework their loan, but they just weren't able to get an agreement on that," Painter said. "This is happening in a lot of places right now, and not just in Los Angeles," he added. Painter is director of research at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
February 2, 2009
Los Angeles Downtown News cited the USC Casden Real Estate Forecast, issued by the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. The apartment occupancy rate in downtown Los Angeles currently stands at 85 percent, according to the forecast.
January 27, 2009
The Wall Street Journal quoted Professor Richard Green about disincentives for first-time homeowners. Rising unemployment and announcements of huge job cuts have sapped consumer confidence nationwide, discouraging some potential buyers from making a move, the story stated. "People rightly feel less secure in their future income," Green said. The housing market won't recover until the unemployment rate stops rising, he added.
January 26, 2009
The USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development marked its 80th anniversary by hosting a special colloquium Jan. 16 at the Davidson Conference Center. During the conference, Dean Jack H. Knott noted that SPPD remains dedicated to advancing academic theory and making a vital impact in the world.
January 23, 2009
BusinessWeek quoted Professor Richard Green about possible "cramdowns," whereby the government forces lenders to modify the terms of home loans. A year ago, allowing loan modifications would have raised objections, since it would let many homeowners to escape their contractual obligations, the story stated. But the urgency of the real estate crisis has changed many people's thinking, while others "have made the judgment that the moral hazard ship sailed a long time ago," Green said. "Things have reached such crisis proportions, we have to put such niceties aside and get ourselves through this," he added. Green said that the only cure is a mass-modification program, which is what the government used in the Great Depression.
January 23, 2009
The Modesto Bee quoted Professor Richard Green about the state of the housing market. The market is being hammered by tight credit, expectations of further price declines, and job losses, he said. "If you see the unemployment rate turn around, that's when you'll start to see housing prices bottom and start turning in the other direction." Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
January 20, 2009
Portfolio quoted Professor Richard Green about the silver linings of the credit crunch and housing slowdown. Until frozen markets thaw, banks won't able to fund as many projects, but that might be a good thing, the story stated. "A slowdown is creating more time to plan and tempered expectations," Green said. "Projects that do get funding will be sound, which will ultimately be good for an ailing industry."
January 14, 2009
The San Diego Union-Tribune quoted Professor Raphael Bostic about the need to stem home foreclosures. "Without doing more to control the wave of foreclosures, we could have a continuous flow of distressed mortgages, which would create problems for the economy as a whole," Bostic warned.
January 12, 2009
Los Angeles Downtown News quoted Associate Professor Gary Painter about a Los Angeles developer who has decided, due to the weak economy, to auction off the units in a condo building. "In normal market circumstances you typically don't see auctions," he said. "But with what's happened in the last year and a half, it's anything but normal." Painter is director of research at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
December 24, 2008
U.S. News & World Report quoted Professor Richard Green featuring advice for prospective homebuyers. "If you're not planning on living in that house for more than three to five years, I wouldn't buy anything right now," Green said. "Nobody knows what is going to happen to prices over the next few years." Green is director and chair of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
December 8, 2008
The California Real Estate Journal quoted Associate Professor Gary Painter about a new report warning of a $2.5 trillion risk to real estate posed by global warming. Rising losses from damage and destruction of buildings and land presumably will lead to higher insurance premiums, the story stated. "What's clearly going to happen is, as various places in California experience greater risk over time, you'd expect that to be reflected in higher prices," Painter said.
December 2, 2008
The Wall Street Journal highlighted Professor Dowell Myers in a story on the future of American real estate. Myers' research has indicated that the retirement of baby boomers over the next two decades is likely to depress house prices in many areas, the story stated. "It's going to really mess up the housing market," Myers said. This "generational correction" will be larger and longer-lasting than the current slump, Myers has predicted. In some areas, younger people will be happy to buy boomers' homes as they retire and move elsewhere. The problem will be in places where lots of older people are selling and few young people are settling down, Myers said. The effects will be strongest in the "coldest, most congested and most expensive states rather than the high-growth states of the South or West," he noted.
November 18, 2008
Public Radio International's "The Takeaway" interviewed Professor Richard Green about whether the housing market is bottoming out. "I was feeling better about getting close to a bottom before September 15, because we saw prices fall so much in so many parts of the country that owning was starting to seem like a reasonably good deal relative to renting," Green said. "But with the lack of confidence due to the financial crisis, I don't think we're close to a bottom, though I did think so six weeks ago." On September 15, credit markets fell as the failure of Lehman Brothers spread throughout the market, making it more difficult for people to get mortgages, he noted. "But the other thing is that as this crisis of confidence has worsened, people are not willing to make the long-term commitment to buying a house."
November 12, 2008
Time quoted Professor Richard Green about the new plan by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to reduce mortgage payments for some homeowners who can't currently meet their monthly payments. The new program doesn't forgive principal, only defers it, which may not go very far at a time when some 18 percent of mortgage holders owe more to the bank than their house is worth, the story stated. "If all they're doing is lengthening the loan maturity, it may reduce the economic stress a little bit, but it doesn't deal with the main problem, which is you have an underwater loan," Green said.
November 8, 2008
The Los Angeles Times quoted Professor Richard Green about the fall in pending home sales in Southern California. "It's harder to get financing now than it was a year ago," said Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. "You need a 20% down payment. A year ago, it was less than 5%." Potential homebuyers are also less willing to buy now because of high unemployment rates, Green added. "With people losing their jobs and seeing their neighbors losing their jobs, they're not going to want to make the commitment of buying a house," he explained.
November 5, 2008
The Wall Street Journal quoted SPPD Professor Richard Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, about research suggesting that homeowners tend to continue paying down their mortgages despite falling home values, provided they can afford their payments. Homeowners in California were more likely than expected to keep paying during the deep 1990s slump, Green said.
November 4, 2008
BusinessWeek quoted Professor Raphael Bostic about what would happen if the federal government renegotiated troubled mortgages. Such a move would help put a floor under housing prices, Bostic said. "Everyone is trying to figure out where the bottom is," he explained. "People are not going think there's a bottom if they know there's a flood of distressed assets still coming up for sale." Bostic is director of the master of real estate development program at SPPD.
October 31, 2008
The Los Angeles Times cited a USC Lusk Center for Real Estate study in an op-ed. According to the study, conducted in collaboration with UCLA, the slide in home values is likely to significantly constrict spending by consumers, making it harder for the economy to rebound. "We have shown that consumers react more radically to changes in their housing wealth than to changes in the size of their bank accounts," the study's authors wrote. The Orange County Register also covered the research.
October 29, 2008
During an Oct. 21 panel hosted by the USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development, Los Angeles City Councilwoman Jan Perry said that the goal of downtown's revitalization effort is to restore "the excitement of an earlier time." The changing downtown landscape was the focus of the panel discussion, which took place inside City Hall. The event was part of the SPPD Dean's Speaker Series.
October 29, 2008
Bloomberg News featured a new study by SPPD Professors Gary Painter and Raphael Bostic, along with Stuart Gabriel of the UCLA Ziman Center for Real Estate. The economists found that lunging home prices will cut economic growth in the U.S. more than the drop in stock prices this year. A 10 percent decline in housing wealth results in a $105 billion - or 1.2 percent - reduction in personal spending, according to the three-year study. Consumer spending accounts for about 70 percent of GDP, so that drop would result in a reduction in real GDP growth of 1 percentage point, the study found. "The reason, I believe, the effects are smaller for financial wealth than for housing wealth is that people tend to view those changes in housing wealth as more permanent," Painter said. "Consumption will be impacted by the decline in housing wealth for a while," he added. The study is scheduled to be published next year in the journal, Regional Science and Urban Economics.
October 21, 2008
SPPD Professor Dowell Myers was quoted in a Wall Street Journal news story about the role that retiring baby boomers are playing in the housing market downturn. "The generational crash is when there are too many older homeowners and not enough buyers," Myers said.
October 16, 2008
The Los Angeles Times quoted Professor Raphael Bostic about price trends in the housing market. Additional notices of default and foreclosure are expected in 2009, when a new wave of adjustable mortgages will reset, the story noted. That will continue to push down the median prices of homes statewide, possibly into 2010, Bostic said. "Prices could inch up month over month next year, but a lot of moving parts have to align in the economy for that to happen," he explained.
October 15, 2008
The Wall Street Journal quoted Professor Richard Green about how government intervention in the housing and financial markets will affect homeowners. Green said that over time, the government's rescue effort could make it easier for borrowers in high-cost markets such as California, New York and Boston to get a mortgage, by reducing rates for jumbo loans, those too big for government backing. The government needs to push mortgage companies to take advantage of the Hope for Homeowners program, which aims to put borrowers into affordable loans, but requires that they share any resulting price appreciation with the federal government, Green added. The program "pretty much gets the incentives right," he said.
October 8, 2008
Professor Richard Green was quoted in the Press-Enterprise about how the Fed's most recent interest rate cut will affect mortgage lending. It's unlikely that the cut will stimulate the economy, because banks will not respond by increasing their lending in the current climate, Green said. "They are more afraid of losing money than of not making money," he explained. Green is director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
October 7, 2008
SPPD Distinguished Fellow Stan Ross was quoted in The Wall Street Journal about the savings and loan crisis of the 1980s, during which the federal government's Resolution Trust Corp (RTC) sold off distressed properties at rock-bottom prices. The move has been blamed for further depressing home values, as entire communities were turned over to absentee landlords, the story stated. However, places like Moreno Valley in Riverside County were already suffering from substantially reduced values when the RTC took control, said Ross, chairman of the board of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. "It's so easy to blame the government in these situations," he added.
October 2, 2008
Professor Raphael Bostic was quoted in a Ventura County Star article about how the financial crisis impacts the average person. The credit crunch is affecting people's ability to get loans for homes, the story noted. "You have to be more than prime these days -- you have to be pristine," Bostic said.
September 24, 2008
An Orange County Register article featured a talk by Professor Richard Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, held at a real estate law firm. Prospects for housing market recovery have improved recently, Green said. Factors that bode well for the market include a declining inventory of homes for sale, conditions that favor buying over renting, and the government takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the article stated. Green also spoke about studies comparing the advantages and disadvantages of home ownership in general. While homeownership inhibits mobility, which can affect the labor market, studies show that children of homeowners tend to do better than those of renters, he said.
September 18, 2008
Professor Richard Green, director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, was quoted in Forbesabout the types of houses one can buy these days with $1 million. In many U.S. cities, inflated real estate prices can hold firm or slide only slightly in the city center, even as they collapse in the surrounding areas, Green said. "In the inland areas of Los Angeles, you can get a 4,000-square-foot house -- a huge house," he noted. But in popular Santa Monica or Marina Del Rey, "You'll get a shack."
September 14, 2008
SPPD Professor Yongheng Deng was quoted in the San Francisco Chronicle about China's mortgage market. "[T]he mortgage market in China does resemble the U.S.," Deng said. "In the last two to three years, the mortgage market has grown in China," he added. Before that, people would just show up with cash, he explained. "In 1998, the first mortgages were written. Three years ago, the mortgage terms became standard. And now a range of mortgage types is available." Deng is a specialist in China's real estate and mortgage markets, the story noted.
September 8, 2008
Professor Raphael Bostic was interviewed by KFI-AM about the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac takeover. The federal government stepping in will mean more stability in the market and probably a drop in interest rates for some home loans, according to the story. "For California, it will be a good thing," said Bostic, director of the Master of Real Estate Development program at SPPD. "[W]ith the recent increase in the loan limit for Fannie and Freddie, a lot of homeowners will have access to those cheaper mortgages."
September 6, 2008
Professor Richard Green was quoted in the Los Angeles Times about record-setting home foreclosure rates in the United States. To make things worse, the U.S. jobless rate jumped in August to a nearly five-year high, the story stated. "It's really the very last thing the housing market needs right now - unemployment going up and we're heading into a recession," Green said. Job losses in construction and lending in the hard-hit Inland Empire are spreading to manufacturing, he noted. "And that causes a spillover effect," Green said. "If manufacturers are laying off people this month, retailers are likely to be laying off people next month." Green is director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, the story noted.
August 26, 2008
Associate Professor Gary Painter was quoted in the Ventura County Star about the housing market in Southern California. While a significant percentage of the homes sold are foreclosures, last month's uptick in sales is "encouraging nonetheless," Painter said. However, prices probably won't be heading up until 2010, he predicted. "It's still a transition time," Painter explained.
August 22, 2008
Professor Raphael Bostic was quoted in the North County Times about increasing home sales in some areas. Broader economic problems beyond the sub-prime mortgage crisis could still bring bad news, the story noted. "This pickup in sales is an indication that we're getting to a regular market," said Bostic, director of the Master of Real Estate Development program at SPPD. "But it doesn't mean that we're not going to see more of the distress that we have already seen."
August 16, 2008
Professor Richard Green was featured in a Q&A article in the Orange County Register on the housing slump. "My general view is that places close to employment centers will recover more rapidly than places that are further away, in large part because of gasoline prices," he said. "I think the speed and magnitude surprised almost all of us who follow housing markets," he said of the housing crisis. Green is director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
July 17, 2008
Prof. Gary Painter was quoted in a Ventura County Star story about the impact of credit turmoil on the housing market. "It's definitely a time of turbulence right now, that's for sure," Painter said. "There's no sign of a quick turnaround." Painter is director of research at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, the article noted.
June 27, 2008
A story in the San Francisco Chronicle featured housing market analysis by experts from the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. "We don't have a lot further to go [down in price]," Conway said, predicting a leveling off in the next year or two. Of the major California cities, San Francisco and San Jose are in the best shape, with home prices flattening, instead of plunging like those in Southern California and inland, said Raphael Bostic, director of the USC Master's of Real Estate Development program. "We have been through periods of profound turbulence in our financial markets, only to see things respond more rapidly than anyone had predicted," said Richard Green, who directs the Lusk Center. Conway directs USC's Casden Real Estate Economic Forecast, the article noted.
June 21, 2008
Raphael Bostic of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate was cited in a New York Times story about the rental market. In Los Angeles, the housing market slump has begun to push up vacancies as condominiums are converted into rentals, he said. Bostic is associate director of the Lusk Center, the article noted.
June 9, 2008
An editorial in the Los Angeles Downtown News cited USC's Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast. The apartment market in downtown Los Angeles has been one of the tightest in the region, with occupancy in 2006 close to 98 percent, according to the forecast.
May 20, 2008
Prof. Gary Painter was quoted in the Ventura County Star about whether recent statistics indicate a recovery in the housing market. "It's premature to say whether the market is at a turning point," Painter said. "It's very easy, when you're in a market like this one, to have little blips here and there," he explained. Painter is director of research at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, the story noted.
May 8, 2008
Prof. Raphael Bostic was interviewed on CNBC about rising oil prices and the housing market. Expensive fuel will negatively impact the housing market since it is linked, especially psychologically, to consumer spending and people's feelings about the economy, Bostic said. "We know that consumer spending is an important part of the economy, and it provides a benchmark for what people will decide to do in terms of major purchases," he explained. In the long term, increasing fuel costs might affect development patterns, he added. "I think [high prices is] why we're seeing a lot more interest on the part of developers to create urban central core type developments."
April 3, 2008
Professor Raphael Bostic was interviewed on NPR's "News & Notes" about rising home foreclosures. The foreclosures may be due in part to Americans' view of home ownership, the story noted. "We haven't sent the message that homeownership really isn't a right, it is a privilege, and it comes with cost obligations and burdens," Bostic said. "And collectively, our society has not placed homeownership in a position such that people who are chasing homeownership actually understand that there are potential consequences." Foreclosure rates are concentrated in the African American community, he added. "Some research that I've done would suggest that even after you control for credit quality and all those sorts of issues, foreclosure is much more prevalent in a lower income minority communities," he explained. Bostic is director of the Master of Real Estate Development Program at SPPD.
March 24, 2008
Prof. Raphael Bostic was interviewed on NBC Nightly News about the condominium market. Wider problems in the housing market have forced many new developments to halt construction or go on the auction block, the story reported. "The difficult part is that real estate is cyclical," said Bostic, associate director of the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate. "For most of these cities, unfortunately, their condo product came online at a time when the housing market really was weak, and condos have been really ground zero for that weakness," he explained.
March 13, 2008
Prof. Gary Painter was recently quoted in BusinessWeek about the mortgage industry. There's a need for better regulatory oversight of the information flows about mortgages, both to those investing in mortgage-backed securities and to home buyers getting the loans, Painter said. Mortgage lenders on the whole would benefit because investors would know what they are buying, which would make for a healthier industry in the long run, he added. Painter is the director of research at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate, the story noted.
Raphael Bostic, a professor at the USC School of Policy, Planning, and Development, and Elizabeth Garrett, USC's vice president for academic planning and budget and a professor at the USC Gould School of Law, have been asked to join President Obama's administration in Washington, D.C.